Venue Details & Pitch Report - Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad

Average First Innings Score at Ahmedabad in ODIs since 2022: 240

Batting First vs Batting Second in ODIs since 2022: Win Bat 1st - 43%, Win Bat 2nd - 57% 

IND-AUS Players in the top 10 leading run-scorers list in ODIs since 2022: Rohit Sharma(1), Shreyas Iyer(3), Suryakumar Yadav(5)

IND-AUS Players in the top 10 leading wicket-takers list in ODIs since 2022:  Prasidh Krishna(1), Mohammed Siraj(2), Kuldeep Yadav(7)

Ground Dimensions: The venue has long straight boundaries (77m) and square boundaries (67m, 74m). Third Man (59m) & Deep Mid Wicket (80m) and FineLeg (62m) & Deep Cover (75m).

Pitch Report: Since the stadium completed renovation in 2021, there has been no 300+ score in ODIs at this ground. We have seen spinners get assistance, especially in the first innings, during the day.  The wicket at Ahmedabad is considered to be flat but under lights in the second innings, pacers have found some assistance with the new ball.

According to reports, the pitch for the Final is likely to be the one used for the India vs Pakistan match, in which batting became easier in the second innings after a tricky battle against spin in the first innings.

Predicted Playing XI - India vs Australia, Final, ICC Cricket World Cup 2023

India: Rohit Sharma (C), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (WK), Suryakmar Yadav, Ravindra Jadeja, Mohammed Shami, Jasprit Bumrah, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj

          Bench: Shardul Thakur,  Ishan Kishan, Ravichandran Ashwin, Prasidh Krishna

Australia: David Warner, Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh, Steven Smith, Marnus Labuschagne, Jos Inglis (WK), Glenn Maxwell, Pat Cummins (C), Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood

         Bench: Sean Abbott, Cameron Green, Alex Carey, Marcus Stoinis

Fantasy Notes (INDIA) - India vs Australia, Final, ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 Prediction

STATS & NUMBERS

Relevant Numbers of India players vs Australia in ODIs:

PLAYERBAT INNSRUNSAVG/SR50s/100sBOWL INNSWICKETSBOWL AVG/ECO
Shubman Gill626847/951/1N/AN/AN/A
Virat Kohli46231354/9413/8N/AN/AN/A
Rohit Sharma44233258/959/8N/AN/AN/A
KL Rahul1562557/946/0N/AN/AN/A
Ishan Kishan45213/980/0N/AN/AN/A
Prasidh Krishna    23 
Suryakumar Yadav613026/1352/0N/AN/AN/A
Shreyas Iyer1027030/1021/0N/AN/AN/A
Ravindra Jadeja3156626/762/0403752/5.3
Shardul Thakur       
Kuldeep Yadav    213136/6
Mohammed Shami    233832/6
Mohammed Siraj    6739/6.6
Ravichandran Ashwin    1821 
Jasprit Bumrah    202835/5.3

Relevant Numbers of India players at Ahmedabad in ODIs:

PLAYERBAT INNSRUNSAVG/SR50s/100sBOWL INNSWICKETSBOWL AVG/ECO
Rohit Sharma630751/1033/0N/AN/AN/A
Virat Kohli819224/831/0N/AN/AN/A
Shreyas Iyer2133133/772/0N/AN/AN/A
Suryakumar Yadav310452/821/0N/AN/AN/A
KL Rahul26868/880/0N/AN/AN/A
Ravindra Jadeja34824/92 4448/4.8
Shubman Gill116     
Prasidh Krishna    397.5/2.5
Mohammed Siraj    4720/4.2
Kuldeep Yadav    2421/4.8
Jasprit Bumrah    12 

Relevant Numbers of India players at Ahmedabad in T20s:

PLAYERBAT INNSRUNSAVG/SR50s/100sBOWL INNSWICKETSBOWL AVG/ECO
Shubman Gill1379579/1643/3N/AN/AN/A
Virat Kohli828557/1363/0N/AN/AN/A
Shreyas Iyer412140/1461/0N/AN/AN/A
Suryakumar Yadav519739/1772/0N/AN/AN/A
KL Rahul612525/1161/0N/AN/AN/A
Ravindra Jadeja    22 
Rohit Sharma510120/1291/0   
Mohammed Shami    132018/7.4
Mohammed Siraj    31 
Kuldeep Yadav    21 
Shardul Thakur    6826/10.2

MATCHUPS

Virat Kohli vs Josh Hazlewood in ODIs: Outs - 5, Balls - 88, Avg/SR - 10/58; 

Shubman Gill vs Mitchell Starc in ODIs: Outs - 2, Balls - 39, Avg/SR - 17/89

Shreyas Iyer vs Josh Hazlewood; (in limited overs): Outs - 4, Balls - 54, Avg/SR - 12/94

Adam Zampa's number of dismissals in ODIs: vs Virat Kohli - 5 Outs, vs Rohit Sharma - 4 Outs, vs KL Rahul - 4 Outs, Shreyas Iyer - 2 Outs, Shubman Gill - 2 Outs 

Points to Consider

  • Australia have the 4th worst record (13 Outs, 28 Avg) against wrist spin in this World Cup while India has been the best team against wrist spin (6 Outs, 63 Avg). Kuldeep Yadav will play a key role in the middle overs in the Final. Back him as a differential bowler, as he is selected in just 27% of the teams.
  • Shubman Gill's love for Ahmedabad is well known from his stint in IPL at this ground where he averages 79 in 13 matches. We will take a decision on him for small leagues after the toss, but he is a top pick for your GL combinations. We will prefer him India is chasing in this match.
  • Josh Hazlewood's tight line and lengths will be key for Australia against a top quality Indian top order and also against both Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli. He has dismissed Virat Kohli 5 times in ODIs, with a batting average of just 10. Additionally, the in-form and aggressive Rohit Sharma will not find it easy against his disciplined bowling, with the possible threat of the ball nicking the edge of his bat. We will back the Australian pacer as a differential pick in our small-league teams.
  • Mohammed Shami vs Left Handers in WC 2023: Overs - 8.4, Wickets - 8, Runs/Wicket - 4, Economy - 3.69; With the kind of form that he is in, we expect him to be the key in stopping the Australian left hand juggernauts concentrated at the top of the order. In the Semi-Final, he provided the key breakthroughs of New Zealand's left-handed opening duo of Devon Conway and Rachin Ravindra - can he repeat the same magic and counter both Travis Head and David Warner with the new ball in the Final?

Fantasy Notes (AUSTRALIA) - India vs Australia, Final, ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 Prediction

STATS & NUMBERS

Relevant Numbers of Australia players vs India in ODIs:

PLAYERBAT INNSRUNSAVG/SR50s/100sBOWL INNSWICKETSBOWL AVG/ECO
David Warner25121551/989/3N/AN/AN/A
Steven Smith 24130654/1006/5N/AN/AN/A
Mitchell Marsh1045865/1163/1   
Marnus Labuschagne1138735/893/0N/AN/AN/A
Alex Carey1737629/961/0N/AN/AN/A
Travis Head820830/951/0   
Marcus Stoinis1743836/872/0171355/6
Glenn Maxwell3094135/1346/0258 
Josh Inglis37726/950/0   
Josh Hazlewood    101532/5.3
Mitchell Starc    182734/6
Adam Zampa    223433/5.7
Pat Cummins    202637/5.2
Sean Abbott    6748/6.1
Cameron Green610017/690/0   

MATCHUPS

Glenn Maxwell vs Jasprit Bumrah (in limited overs): Outs - 9, Balls - 134, Avg/SR - 16/108, vs M Shami in limited overs: Outs - 4, Balls - 61, Avg/SR - 20/129

Steven Smith vs M Shami in ODIs: Outs - 4, Avg/SR - 29/108

Kuldeep Yadav's number of dismissals in limited overs: vs Warner - 5 Outs, vs Glenn Maxwell - 7 

Points to Consider

  • Steven Smith in ICC WC Knockouts: Inns - 5, Runs - 341, Avg/SR - 85/82, 50s/100s - 3/1; He has had an underwhelming World Cup so far but his best might be saved for the best occasions looking at his record in the knockouts and against India. Back him as a differential batting pick as he is selected in just 24% of the teams. While he has not contributed heavily in the recent matches, he is a batter who is still in good touch.
  • While India has been the best team against wrist spin in this World Cup, Adam Zampa will still be a constant threat against a right-hand dominant Indian batting unit, and he has dismissed all the batters in the top 5 at least twice in the past ODIs. If the opposition is put under pressure early, he has the ability to run through the batting order - consider backing him as a differential pick at 31%.
  • Last time Australia played at Ahmedabad in this tournament, Marnus Labuschagne scored 71 runs and he can be a good alternative pick batting in the middle order due to the threat of early wickets. Currently, he is picked in just 11.6% of the teams.
  • Similarly, Mitchell Marsh who has an excellent record against India in ODIs is currently in the differential category. At the same time, he is a very “hit or miss” player, who cannot be relied on in every match but he has the ability to single-handedly take the game away from the opposition, if he manages to survive the early threat of India's in-form pacers. This makes him a must-rotate pick in your grand league combinations.

Fantasy XI - India vs Australia, Final, ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 Prediction

WK: KL Rahul

BAT: Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma, David Warner, Steven Smith

AR: Ravindra Jadeja, Glenn Maxwell

BOWL: Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc

C/VC: Rohit Sharma, KL Rahul

Differentials: Steven Smith (24%), Adam Zampa (31$), Marnus Labschagne (11.6%)

C/VC Alternatives: Virat Kohli, Steven Smith, Glenn Maxwell

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Stats Credit: Cricinfo, Cricmetric

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