Old Trafford, Manchester – Venue Notes
- Bowling types that work the best here: Legspin and raw pace
- High scoring venue
- High scoring powerplays
- In the last three years of the T20 Blast: Win% batting first – 57; Win% chasing – 43
- Jos Buttler (6), Phil Salt (7), and Wayne Madsen (10) are all in the top 10 leading run-scorers at the venue since 2017
- Matt Parkinson (1), Tom Hartley (3), and Richard Gleeson (6) are all in the top 10 leading wicket-takers at the venue since 2017
For a more detailed report on venue, click here and scroll down to the venue section of the article.
Prediction 1: Total Match Runs Over 299.5 (backed by Predictor Prasanna)
Welsh Fire have a strong top order, but they have struggled because their home ground is Cardiff, one of England’s most difficult batting venues. Enter Old Trafford, and players like Joe Clarke, David Miller, and Ben Duckett will be back amongst runs.
The names of Manchester Originals batters speak for themselves: Jos Buttler, Phil Salt, Andre Russell and Tristan Stubbs. That’s runs. Plenty of runs. Especially against the Welsh Fire bowling unit.
Prediction 2: Jos Buttler Player Performance Points Over 28.5
Most opening batters struggle with left-arm pace, and Welsh Fire have a top-tier left-arm seamer in David Payne. However, Buttler is an exception to the rule. In T20s, he has a strong record against this bowling type, making him a safe bet here. While the Originals captain will not have the usual wicketkeeping cushion, he is far too good to not back 28.5+ performance points against this Welsh Fire bowling unit.
- Jos Buttler vs left-arm pace in T20s: R – 363, B – 252, Outs – 7, Avg/SR – 52/144
Manchester Originals vs Welsh Fire – Fantasy Notes
- Back Tom Hartley to deliver against a RHB-heavy Welsh Fire top order in a venue he loves bowling at.
- Matt Parkinson is another great option. The legspinner established himself as one of England’s best spin bowlers at Old Trafford.
- After the first game, Joe Clarke is the one who is keeping wickets; not Tom Banton. Clarke is also the best RHB option for the Welsh Fire to handle the Manchester Originals bowling unit.
- If Richard Gleeson is available, pick him.
- Tristan Stubbs could be promoted up the order after his performance in the previous game, so include him in your XI even if he is only positioned to bat at No.6 or No.7. With the opposition having two left-handers in the middle order, he may be required to bowl a set or two as well.
- Positional threat to Wayne Madsen and Sam Hain: If Madsen and Hain get game time when they should, they will score enough, but the problem with support players like these two is that if the opening pair does well, they keep getting demoted for the bigger names in the XI, in this case for Andre Russell and Tristan Stubbs in the Originals and Ben Duckett and David Miller in the Fire.
- With both of the opposition’s main spinners turning the ball away from the right-hander, Ben Duckett is the Welsh Fire’s best specialist batting option.
Top MO picks (in order): Jos Buttler, Andre Russell, Tom Hartley, Matt Parkinson, Phil Salt, Tristan Stubbs
Top WF picks (in order): Joe Clarke, Dwaine Pretorius, Ben Duckett, Adam Zampa
Top C/VC picks: Jos Buttler, Andre Russell, Joe Clarke, Dwaine Pretorius
Top Differentials: Tristan Stubbs (24%), Fred Klaassen (20%)