Jos Buttler

The ultimate guide for The Men’s Hundred Match No.6, London Spirit vs Manchester Originals, at Lord’s, London.

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London Spirit – Match Notes

8 qualified batters in the XI

2 left-handers

Only 1 top 4 left-hander – Opportunity alert for opposition’s slow left-arm spinners and legspinners

5 frontline bowling options

3 support bowling options: Glenn Maxwell, Ravi Bopara, Kieron Pollard

Spin trio: Covered (legspin, SLA, off-spin all in the XI)

In Form: Nathan Ellis

Out of Form: Mason Crane

Express pace: Not available 

Big player(s) on the bench: Ben McDermott, Ravi Bopara, Daniel Bell-Drummond

With Nathan Ellis continuing to impress and Kieron Pollard showing signs of regaining his form in the first game against the Oval Invincibles, McDermott is likely to remain on the bench until Glenn Maxwell departs for national duty.

Potential changes: Ravi Bopara in, Dan Lawrence out

Dan Lawrence is among the 13-man England Lions squad that will face South Africa in a four-day match beginning tomorrow. Ravi Bopara is expected to take his place, but the 37-year-old is not in form – Blast 2022 Avg/SR of 23/120.

Spot(s) under threat: Chris Wood & Mason Crane, with the in-form Brad Wheal on the bench 

  • Mason Crane’s mediocre returns in The Blast 2022 (Avg/ER): 33/9.4
  • Chris Wood’s mediocre returns in the last 5 games (Avg/ER): 43/10
  • Brad Wheal in The Blast since 2021: 39 wickets at 19/8.2

However, the Spirit’s victory in the first game may provide some breathing room for the duo.

Manchester Originals – Match Notes

8 qualified batters in the XI

1 left-hander – Opportunity alert for opposition’s slow left-arm spinners and legspinners

5 frontline bowling options

3 support bowling options: Ashton Turner/Tristan Stubbs, Wayne Madsen, Paul Walter

Spin trio: Covered (legspin, SLA, off-spin all in the XI)

In Form: Wayne Madsen, Paul Walter, Andre Russell, Tom Hartley, Matt Parkinson

Out of Form: Laurie Evans, Ashton Turner, Fred Klaassen 

Express pace: Available if Richard Gleeson is fit 

Big player(s) on the bench: Colin Ackermann, Tom Lammonby

  • Wayne Madsen is a Derbyshire legend who will be remembered as one of the unluckiest cricketers never to have played for his country. The 38-year-old, who was not given an opportunity in the inaugural edition, took advantage of his first this year, scoring an impressive 43 off 26. This ensures that Ackermann, another big name on the domestic circuit, will sit out at least a few more games. Either Madsen’s failure or Evans’ poor Blast form could help Ackermann re-enter the XI in the future.
  • Tom Lammonby was a lock to be part of the Originals’ batting lineup before the season because he was their only left-handed option. But there was a problem: he wasn’t in form. Fortunately for the Originals, Jamie Overton’s injury created an opportunity for them to sign another left-hander, Paul Walter, who is not only a bigger hitter but also in form. And with Walter impressing right away, Lammonby appears destined to be benched for the duration of the tournament.

Potential changes: Richard Gleeson in(if fit), Fred Klaassen out 

  • In recent months, Richard Gleeson’s pace has been one of the most exciting things in world cricket. Expect him to play if he recovers from the injury that kept him out of England’s last game and the Originals’ first.
  • Ashton Turner didn’t do much wrong in the first game and is one of the most underrated all-round hitters around, but he hasn’t done much right either in the last few months, struggling with inconsistent form (124 at 21/159) in The Blast 2022. That is not enough to keep out Tristan Stubbs, the most exciting young big-hitting talent in the world right now.

Spot(s) under threat: Fred Klaassen

  • Fred Klaassen in The Blast 2022: 12 wickets at 35/9

Match Centre – Rating and Comparison

Team RatingLondon SpiritManchester Originals
Batting Quality0.70.7
Batting Depth0.50.5
Complementary Openers0.50.7
Spin Hitting11
Pace Hitting0.71
New Ball Swing & Seam0.70.3
Enforcer00.75
Death Bowling0.70.5
Bowling Depth11
Complementary Spin0.50.7
TOTAL6.3/107.1/10

Venue Notes

Lord’s is one of the few T20 venues where batting first is a logical choice at the toss. In the previous Men’s 100, the team that batted first won every game. And in the last 3 years of the Blast, there is a 29-run difference between the average innings score of the teams batting first and second.

At Lord’s (Blast Numbers – Last 3 years): 

  • Average first innings score: 175
  • Average second innings score: 146

At The Men’s 100 2021:

  • Average first inning score: 148
  • Average second innings score: 121
  • Average runs in PP first innings: 31
  • Average runs in death (Over 17-20) first innings: 50

Because of the ground dimensions, it is also a venue where you are more likely to land on the right side of a 4s prediction than a 6s prediction. While the square boundaries are short, the deep midwicket and extra cover at 86m may be too much to overcome. There is also one long straight boundary at 82m.

At Lord’s (Blast Numbers – Last 3 years): 

  • Average number of 4s hit in 1st inn: 15 (highest among The 100 venues)
  • Average number of 6s hit in 1st inn: 4.75 (second lowest among The 100 venues)

This is one of the factors that attracts bowlers to this venue, though the pitch often plays a larger role as well.

At The Men’s 100 2021:

  • Average number of 4s hit in 1st inn: 11
  • Average number of 6s hit in 1st inn: 6.5

In T20 matches at the venue since 2017, Eoin Morgan has scored 484 runs at an average of 32 and a strike rate of 144. Only Stephen Eskinazi has a higher number of runs in this time period. It’s not surprising given that this is the home ground of both of these players’ county team, Middlesex.

Mason Crane has a strong bowling record at this venue, having taken 6 wickets in 5 games at an average of 18 and an economy rate of 6.2.

Indibet Cricket Predictions

The match features one good batting unit, one above average batting unit, one average bowling unit, and one below average bowling unit, and it is played at a venue with dimensions that make relying on over or under 4s/6s tricky. So we’re staying out of it.

Your best pre-match chance is to go on player performance and back Phil Salt and Andre Russell to win at 30 and 39 points, respectively.

Manchester Originals are pre-match favourites to win the match, especially if Richard Gleeson is fit and they bat first.

Fantasy Corner

Base Team: Glenn Maxwell, Jordan Thompson, Nathan Ellis, Andre Russell, Matt Parkinson, Jos Buttler, Eoin Morgan

Differentials: Richard Gleeson (4%), Phil Salt (34%)

Budget picks: Liam Dawson, Wayne Madsen, Sean Abbott, Adam Rossington

Fantasy tip: Fill your team with bowlers from the team that bowls second, especially if it is Manchester Originals.

Predicted Playing XI

London Spirit: Zak Crawley, Adam Rossington(wk), Glenn Maxwell*, Eoin Morgan(c), Kieron Pollard*, Ravi Bopara, Jordan Thompson, Liam Dawson, Nathan Ellis*, Mason Crane, Chris Wood

Manchester Originals: Jos Buttler(c), Phil Salt(wk), Wayne Madsen, Laurie Evans, Paul Walter, Andre Russell*, Tristan Stubbs*, Sean Abbott*, Tom Hartley, Matt Parkinson, Richard Gleeson/Fred Klaassen

Stats credit: Raviteja Rajavarapu, Cricsheet, Cricmetric

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