Sri Lanka vs Australia, 5th ODI: Match Prediction

Day 5, Call 7: Sri Lanka vs Australia, 5th ODI, Team to hit more 4s – Sri Lanka

Difficulty Level: Medium 

Sri Lanka have already won the 5-match series, but sports prediction markets continue to underestimate them because of their recent history against higher-ranked teams. And this is an opportunity for you to capitalise on it. 

‘Team to hit more 4s’ usually falls in favour of the team that is likely to win the match. And in this case, considering the match is at Colombo, a spin-friendly deck with big boundaries, it is Sri Lanka. After all, there is a reason why the scoreline reads 3-1 in favour of them. 

Except for Dasun Shanaka and Chamika Karunaratne, the entire Sri Lankan batting unit is filled with four hitters. Even a couple of their lower middle-order options, such as Wanindu Hasaranga and Dunith Wellalage, don’t have the brute power to clear big boundaries and therefore rely a lot on piercing gaps than clearing the field. 

It could be observed how despite having the highest strike rate of any batter in this series (148.7), Hasaranga is yet to hit a single six. All the leg-spin all-rounder has is 9 boundaries, which contribute to 62% of his total runs. 

The majority of sixes in 50 overs cricket usually come from the lower middle-order, so when it is on your side, there is not much to worry about.

And 3 of the top 4 boundary hitters in this series are Sri Lankans. 

  • Most 4s hit in the series: Pathum Nissanka (22), Kusal Mendis (19), David Warner (19), Charith Asalanka (15)
  • Best BPB rates in the series: Wanindu Hasaranga (4.3), Niroshan Dickwella (5.8), Glenn Maxwell (6.9)

Smaller in stature and more fluent against spin, it is not really a surprise the home side leads the 4 hitting charts. With the series already lost, Australia will likely rest at least one of Josh Hazlewood and Pat Cummins, which should make things even easier for The Lions. 

Potential Prediction Disruptor: Both David Warner and Glenn Maxwell having a great day with the bat.

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