Match 37 brings us the first of many return fixtures of this season, with the Lucknow Super Giants taking on the Mumbai Indians for the second time in the span of a week. While the Lucknow Super Giants have had a sufficiently productive first half of the season, with 4 wins in 7 games, the Mumbai Indians, with 0 wins in their 7 games, have been straying further away from a win with each loss. However, they will head into this game with some semblance of optimism, as they will be playing their first game of the season at the Wankhede Stadium, the ground that has been their home through their past flourishes.
Lucknow Super Giants: KL Rahul (c), Quinton DeKock (wk), K Gowtham, Deepak Hooda, Krunal Pandya, Ayush Badoni, Marcus Stoinis, Jason Holder, Dushmantha Chameera, Avesh Khan, Ravi Bishnoi
Mumbai Indians: Rohit Sharma (c), Ishan Kishan (wk), Dewald Brevis, Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Hrithik Shokeen, Kieron Pollard, Daniel Sams, Jaydev Unadkat, Jasprit Bumrah, Riley Meredith
Batting Records at the Wankhede Stadium
|Average first innings score at Wankhede Stadium||167.3||167.3|
|Average first innings winning score at Wankhede Stadium||180.7||192.0|
|% Teams winning batting first at Wankhede Stadium||47%||43%|
|% Teams winning chasing at Wankhede Stadium||51%||57%|
|balls per 4 scored at Wankhede Stadium||8.0||8.3|
|balls per 6 scored at Wankhede Stadium||18.1||14.7|
|Average powerplay score at Wankhede Stadium||45.6||44.4|
|Average death overs (last 5) score at Wankhede Stadium||51.4||61.3|
Bowling Records at the Wankhede Stadium
|Spin bowling average at Wankhede Stadium||30.9||36.1|
|Pace bowling average at Wankhede Stadium||27.5||29.8|
|Spin bowling economy rate at Wankhede Stadium||7.5||7.4|
|Pace bowling economy rate at Wankhede Stadium||8.1||8.6|
|Spin bowling strike rate at Wankhede Stadium||24.5||29.3|
|Pace bowling strike rate at Wankhede Stadium||20.4||20.7|
LSG and MI played their first ever match against one another only 1 week ago. LSG won the game by 18 runs, owing to a 103* (60) from KL Rahul and a clean bowling effort from Avesh Khan, Ravi Bishnoi, and Jason Holder.
Both LSG and MI have played one game each since their duel last Saturday, both resulting in losses.
While LSG were tamed by a Faf DuPlessis and Josh Hazelwood masterclass after making early inroads against RCB, MI’s batting attack malfunctioned once again as they failed to defend 156 to an MS Dhoni special and despite a decent effort from their bowling unit.
Overall, LSG are 5th position on the points table, while MI, still winless, lurk in 10th position.
KL Rahul and Quinton DeKock to hit 3+ 4s each in the Powerplay
The LSG opening pair may have not fired together consistently, but they got off to a whirlwind start against MI in their previous encounter, with 52 runs between them in 5.3 overs. Quinton DeKock hammered 24 runs in 13 balls in that partnership, while KL Rahul capitalized on his matchup against Tymal Mills.
MI’s bowling unit, at the same time, has been unconvincing. With constant changes to its make-up and teams tending to play out the initial overs from Bumrah and attack the weaker bowlers, they may not be able to change things drastically.
Predicted Game Flow
LSG (Overs 1-6)
LSG’s Powerplay scores this season: 32-4 , 55-0, 32-3, 48-0, 31-3, 57-1, 44-2
MI’s Powerplay bowling performances this season: 46-3, 48-2, 35-2, 30-0, 65-0, 57-1, 46-2
Both LSG and MI have had erratic Powerplays. While LSG have experienced 3 instances of losing wickets in bulk in the first 6 overs, MI have had a wallowing record in this phase as well. However, their 2 worst performances in the Powerplay this season have come against PBKS and LSG, whose openers decided to attack relentlessly.
Bumrah has bowled 10 overs in the Powerplay this season at a stellar Economy Rate of 5.2, but has clenched only 1 wicket in this passage of play. Barring his performance, MI’s bowlers have conceded 8.59 runs-per-over in the Powerplay.
In-Game Opportunity: In line with the pre-game opportunity, expect LSG to score 40+ in the Powerplay; Bumrah to bowl 2 overs in this phase.
LSG (Overs 7-16)
MI only managed 1 wicket through the middle-overs against LSG the last time these 2 teams met, and they have been conceding at over 8.2 runs-per-over in this phase throughout the season. Barring Unadkat (3 wickets at an ER of 7.2), no MI bowler has been able to maintain a reasonable ER during this phase. Bumrah, too, has bowled with an ER of 9+ in the middle-overs this season. Meredith looked promising in his first game, with an ER of 5.33 and 1 wicket in his 3 overs in this period, but whether he is able to replicate it at Wankhede remains to be seen.
Expect one of the openers to play through most of the middle-overs, with support from Hooda and Krunal, who have scored at 132.4 and 137.5 respectively in this passage of play this season, and the latter having found some batting form at no. 4 against RCB.
In-Game Opportunity: MI to concede more than 70 runs; Meredith to take 1 wicket.
LSG (Overs 17-20)
Marcus Stoinis has shown tremendous hitting form in the few opportunities he has got in this period, with 50 runs at a strike rate of 192.3. Jason Holder, too, has scored 24 off 12 balls, including 3 sixes, at the death this season.
Bumrah, however, has been able to put a cap on Stoinis’ scoring abilities, having dismissed him 3 times at an average of 5.3 in the 25 balls he has bowled to him in the IPL. Stoinis has managed to score at a strike rate of only 64.0 against him. Unadkat too, has dismissed Stoinis 2 times in the 6 balls he has bowled to him in the death, conceding only 3 runs. However,
In-Game Opportunity: LSG to score 30+ runs; MI to take 2 wickets.
Predicted Score: 175-185
MI (Overs 1-6)
Rohit in the Powerplay this season: 7 innings, 103 runs, 5 dismissals, SR: 128.8
Ishan in the Powerplay this season: 7 innings, 101 runs, 2 dismissals, SR: 109.8
After their opening game against DC, both the MI openers have struggled to get off to a desirable start this season. The LSG bowlers, on the other hand, have had a productive run in the Powerplay this season.
Chameera in the Powerplay this season: 10 overs, 4 wickets, ER: 9.3, Average: 23.2, SR: 15.0
Avesh in the Powerplay this season: 12 overs, 5 wickets, ER: 7.0, Average: 16, SR: 14.4
While Chameera has been expensive, he has been effective at helping LSG grasp early wickets, and he has an exceptional record against Sharma as well. The pacer has dismissed the MI captain 6 times in the 30 balls he has bowled to him in T20Is, conceding only 32 runs.
If Sharma is able to survive against Chameera and Avesh in the first few overs, expect KL to bring Bishnoi on early to attack him; it is a ploy that worked wonders when the LSG captain and Bishnoi played together at Punjab. MI is either going to continue their trend of losing early wickets, or get off to an extremely watchful start.
In-Game Opportunity: MI to score 30-40 runs; LSG to take 2+ wickets.
MI (Overs 7-16)
The middle-overs have been MI’s biggest foes this season, with their RR being below 8 in 5 of their 7 games and them having lost 19 of the 48 wickets they have lost this season in the middle-overs.
Suryakumar Yadav (120 runs at an SR of 125) and Tilak Varma (163 runs at an SR of 141.7) have been their 2 glimmering hopes in this phase, with Suryakumar having steered MI out of an unlikely situation on more than 1 occasion, and Varma having played impactful innings and struck at a steady rate.
Bishnoi has been able to keep Suryakumar quiet in the IPL, though, having dismissed him 3 times in 17 balls, conceding only 18 runs.
MI will look to make a more earnest effort in this phase of the game after having faltered through it regularly this season, but may be restricted by Bishnoi and Pandya, who has operated economically in the middle-overs this season (ER of 7).
In-Game Opportunity: MI to score 75+ runs in this period; Bishnoi to take 1+ wicket.
MI (Overs 17-20)
Holder at the death this season: 7 overs, 5 wickets, ER: 9.43, Average: 13.2, SR: 8.4
Avesh at the death this season: 10.4 overs, 6 wickets, ER: 10.69, Average: 19.0, SR: 10.7
Chameera at the death this season: 4 overs, 48 runs, 1 wicket, ER: 12.0, Average: 48.0, SR: 24.0
The LSG pacers have taken a decent number of wickets during this period, but they are not untamable, with each of them having conceded over 9 runs-per-over in this phase this season.
Despite their middle-overs muddle, MI has been able to score quickly at the death, with Suryakumar striking at 221.0 and Pollard at 186.1 in the 37 and 36 balls they have faced in this period respectively. If they go into this phase having lost 4 wickets or less, they should be able to capitalize on LSG’s uneconomical death-bowling.
In-Game Opportunity: MI to score 35+ runs in this period; Pollard to hit 2+ sixes.
Predicted Score: 170-180
- A closely fought game; LSG to beat MI
- KL Rahul to be the highest run-scorer
- Bishnoi to be the highest wicket-taker