The Gujarat Titans and the Mumbai Indians will head into the Brabourne Stadium on Friday with starkly contrasting fates. MI are all but knocked out, with only 1 win in 9 games, while GT, sitting comfortably on the top of the table with only 2 losses in 10 games, are within touching distance of a berth in the playoffs. Nevertheless, Match 51 promises to be an exciting one, with the 5-time champions taking on what has thus far been this year’s most successful team for the first time ever in the IPL.
Gujarat Titans: Wriddhiman Saha(wk), Shubman Gill, Sai Sudharshan, Hardik Pandya(c), David Miller, Rahul Tewatia, Rashid Khan, Pradeep Sangwan/Yash Dayal, Alzarri Joseph, Lockie Ferguson, Mohammad Shami
Mumbai Indians: Rohit Sharma(c), Ishan Kishan(wk), Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Tim David, Kieron Pollard, Daniel Sams, Hrithik Shokeen, Kumar Kartikeya, Riley Meredith, Jasprit Bumrah
Venue Statistics: Brabourne Stadium
Batting Records at the Brabourne Stadium
|Average first innings score at Brabourne Stadium||177.2||174.1|
|Average first innings winning score at Brabourne Stadium||197.3||202.8|
|% Teams winning batting first at Brabourne Stadium||46%||36%|
|% Teams winning chasing at Brabourne Stadium||54%||64%|
|balls per 4 scored at Brabourne Stadium||7.0||6.8|
|balls per 6 scored at Brabourne Stadium||19.6||17.0|
|Average powerplay score at Brabourne Stadium||52.1||52.4|
|Average death overs (last 5) score at Brabourne Stadium||53.1||51.5|
Bowling Records at the Brabourne Stadium
|Spin bowling average at Brabourne Stadium||26.1||21.1|
|Pace bowling average at Brabourne Stadium||32.1||32.1|
|Spin bowling economy rate at Brabourne Stadium||8.0||8.0|
|Pace bowling economy rate at Brabourne Stadium||8.6||8.8|
|Spin bowling strike rate at Brabourne Stadium||19.7||15.9|
|Pace bowling strike rate at Brabourne Stadium||22.4||21.8|
Mumbai Indians come into this encounter with some much needed optimism on the back of their first win of the tournament. Other than the sole victory against the Rajasthan Royals, however, they have lost each of their 8 games this season.
The Gujarat Titans, on the other hand, experienced their first loss in 5 games a few nights ago at the hands of the Punjab Kings owing to a batting paralysis, and will be looking to shrug off the odd failure and make a strong comeback.
Shubman Gill in the Powerplay in IPL 2022: 10 innings, 123 runs, 5 dismissals, Average: 24.6, SR: 115.0
Wriddhiman Saha in the Powerplay in IPL 2022: 5 innings, 112 runs, 1 dismissal, Average: 112.0, SR: 138.3
Shubman Gill vs Jasprit Bumrah in the IPL: 20 balls, 24 runs, 1 dismissal, SR: 120.0
Wriddhiman Saha vs Jasprit Bumrah in the IPL: 44 balls, 37 runs, 1 dismissal, SR: 84.1
GT’s average opening partnership this season has been worth only 22 runs.
To add to that, after 2 magnificent knocks of 84 and 96 at the start of the season, Gill has only crossed the 30-run barrier once, with his strike rate having dropped significantly.
Luckily for him, among batters to have faced more than 50 deliveries in this phase, only David Warner (165.6) and Prithvi Shaw (159.5) score at a faster pace than Saha (138.3), his opening partner. And MI’s 12 wickets in the Powerplay is the 3rd worst in the league this season, behind DC and RCB. While Jasprit Bumrah’s ER of 5.4 in this period is bettered only by Sandeep Sharma, Bumrah has struggled to pick wickets this season, with only 5 scalps in 9 games.
This might give the GT openers to make reparations for the team’s dismal outing with the bat in their previous game, but given MI’s productive ER of 7.4 in the Powerplay (2nd best after GT’s 7.3) and Bumrah’s favorable matchup against both openers, they may not be able to score at an excessive rate.
Expected Gameplay: GT to score less than 45 runs.
Middle Overs (7-16)
Hardik Pandya in Overs 7-16 in IPL 2022: 9 innings, 195 runs, Average: 39.0, SR: 131.8
Sai Sudharsan in Overs 7-16 in IPL 2022: 3 innings, 86 runs, Average: 43.0. SR: 126.5
Pandya and Sudharsan have made constructive middle-order contributions for the Gujarat Titans in the opportunities they have gotten to bat in this phase this season.
One of Pandya’s glaring vulnerabilities over the past few seasons has been his ineptitude against left-arm orthodox spin. In 9 innings against SLA bowlers in the middle-overs since 2019, the GT captain has scored 31 runs at an average of 7.8 and strike rate of 83.8, with 2 of his 5 middle-over dismissals this season coming against this bowling type.
Expect MI to unleash their “mystery” spinner in Kumar Kartikeya in an attempt to tame Pandya. Sudharsan, who played a valiant knock of 65 against PBKS a few nights ago, could help shield his captain against the SLA.
Expected Gameplay: GT to score 75-85 runs in this phase; MI to pick 2+ wickets.
Death Overs (17-20)
David Miller in the Death Overs in IPL 2022: 93 runs, 52 balls, 2 dismissals, SR: 178.8
Rahul Tewatia in the Death Overs in IPL 2022: 131 runs, 65 balls, 4 dismissals, SR: 201.5
Riley Meredith in the Death Overs in IPL 2022: 3.0 overs, 3 wickets, ER: 9.67, Average: 9.7, SR: 6.0
Although he has bowled only 3 overs in this phase across his 3 opportunities this season, Meredith has been impressive, especially in MI’s previous game against RR, where he bowled 8 dots in 12 balls, including 2 wickets. A few of these dots came against Shimron Hetmeyer, who has scored at 215.1 at the death this season.
Against GT, however, Meredith will be tasked with the challenge of bowling to Miller and Tewatia, both of whom have been at their destructive best this season. MI’s prime death bowler, Bumrah, has taken only 2 wickets and conceded at more than 8 runs-per-over across 10 innings at the death this season, and has never dismissed Miller in his 7 meetings with him in the IPL.
Expect this phase to be competitive, with Miller and Tewatia taking a boom-or-bust approach against Bumrah and Meredith.
Expected Gameplay: GT to score 40+ runs in this phase and lose 2+ wickets.
Score Prediction: 170-180 for the loss of 4+ wickets.
Rohit Sharma vs Lockie Ferguson in the Powerplay (All T20s): 24 balls, 60 runs, 0 dismissals, SR: 250.0
Mohammad Shami in the Powerplay in IPL 2022: 26.0 overs, 9 wickets, ER: 6.54, Average: 18.9, SR: 17.3
GT have been the most formidable of the bowling teams in the Powerplay this season. Not only have they taken the most number of wickets among all the teams in this phase (21, compared to a second best of 18), but they also have the best economy rate in this period (7.3, compared to a second best of 7.4).
A large contributor to their success at the top of the innings has been Mohammad Shami, who has also been the highest wicket-taker among all bowlers that have bowled at least 50 deliveries in the Powerplay this season. Interestingly, the right-arm pacer has never dismissed Rohit Sharma or Ishan Kishan, the two MI openers, in the Powerplay. They have faced 28 and 25 balls against him respectively in this phase, and scored at 135.7 and 120.0 respectively.
In 2 of their last 4 meetings, albeit outside the Powerplay, Shami has had the better of Rohit, who has been struggling to convert his starts this season. However, at GT, Rohit is up against Ferguson, against whom he enjoys a tremendous record, and will look to capitalize on the matchup to make more hay in the Powerplay.
Expect Hardik to utilize Alzarri Joseph to good effect in the Powerplay, for he has dismissed Rohit 3 times in 61 balls in ODIs, conceding just 51 runs, with 2 of the dismissals coming in the series that India and West Indies played only a couple of months ago. He might also introduce Rashid Khan, who dismissed Rohit 2 times in the 5 balls he has bowled to him in the Powerplay, early to see the back of the MI captain.
Expected Gameplay: MI to score 45+ runs; Rohit to score 20+ runs.
Middle Overs (7-16)
Mumbai Indians Batters vs Rashid Khan in Middle-Overs (All T20s):
Suryakumar Yadav: 28 balls, 32 runs, 0 dismissals, SR: 114.3
Ishan Kishan: 43 balls, 60 runs, 0 dismissals, SR: 139.5
Rohit Sharma: 16 balls, 35 runs, 0 dismissals, SR: 218.8
Tim David: 11 balls, 24 runs, 0 dismissals, SR: 218.2
Kieron Pollard: 65 balls, 51 runs, 1 dismissal, SR: 78.5
Of the bowlers that have bowled at least 400 deliveries in the middle-overs since 2019, nobody has a better economy rate than Rashid’s 6.11, and only Yuzvendra Chahal and Imran Tahir have a better average than his 22.6. He is also the 2nd highest wicket-taker, behind Chahal, in this phase.
However, other than Pollard, he has not been able to tame any of the batters in the MI batting lineup in the middle overs. He may have a terrific record against Rohit in the Powerplay, but in the T20 World Cup last year, the Indian T20 captain scored 20 runs off the 8 balls he faced against Rashid. And the Afghan wrist-spinner is yet to dismiss Ishan, Suryakumar, and David in T20s. Tilak Varma is the only MI batter who has never played Rashid before, but he has scored 94 runs off 51 balls without being dismissed (SR: 184.3) against wrist-spinners this season.
How the MI batters play Rashid will largely define their fate in the middle-overs, which they have tended to struggle in this season. Rashid, on the other hand, will be up for the challenge and aiming to turn his wicketless streak against some of these MI batters on its head.
Expected Gameplay: MI to score 75-85 runs; Rashid to take 1+ wicket.
Death Overs (17-20)
Lockie Ferguson at the Death in IPL 2022: 11.0 overs, 1 wicket, ER: 10.91, Average: 120.0, SR: 66.0
Mohammad Shami at the Death in IPL 2022: 7.0 overs, 5 wickets, ER: 9.57, Average: 13.4, SR: 8.4
Shami has been effective at taking wickets at the death this season, but his performances have, to an extent, been weighed down by Ferguson and Alzarri, who have both conceded at more than 10 runs-per-over at the death. Over the last couple of games, he has also missed the company of Yash Dayal, who has, in fact, been GT’s standout pacer at the death in the limited opportunities he has gotten.
Yash Dayal at the Death in IPL 2022: 4.0 overs, 3 wickets, ER: 6.25, Average: 8.3, SR: 8.0
Expect him to continue to make his mark if he gets an opportunity against MI.
In the last 3 games that Pollard has batted at the death, he has scored 20 runs in 20 balls at an average of 6.7. However, in the match against RR, David gave us a brief insight into his destructive capabilities at the death. Among all the bowling types he has faced in this phase in his T20 career, only left-arm pace has been able to contain his strike rate to under 150. MI’s performance in this phase has been erratic. How they fare in this encounter, with David hopefully being given an extended run and Pollard steadily running out of chances, will largely be determined by how Hardik uses his pacers, especially Shami, at the death.
Expected Gameplay: MI to score 40+ runs; GT to take 1+ wickets.
Score Prediction: 170-180 for the loss of 4+ wickets.
- MI to edge GT in a closely contested game.
- Suryakumar Yadav to be the highest run-scorer.
- Mohammad Shami to be the highest wicket-taker.